Archive for the ‘republicans’ Category
Shaw's Blog: Gallup Poll–Battleground State Nightmare for Obama
shawsblog2011.blogspot.com2/1/12
fox nation Today, Gallup released their aggregate state approvals for President Obama over the entirety of 2011. His drop relative to his 2009 standing is especially stark in battleground states. Here are some of the …
Webutante: Battleground States Show Sharp Decline For Obama
webutante07.blogspot.com2/1/12
Battleground States Show Sharp Decline For Obama. AS MITT ROMNEY MOPS UP IN FLORIDA TONIGHT, many of my fellow conservative commenters diss and whine about Romney's conservative qualifications, his …
The following data is from all of 2011, and 2012 is not looking any better.
The Good News For Obama
His political standing is in reasonable but not good shape in traditionally Democratic Midwestern battlegrounds such as Wisconsin and Michigan and the more Republican heartland state of Iowa where his rating is 46 approval/46 disapproval.
And his numbers in Virginia are better than those in other battleground states 45% approve, 49% disapprove.
His numbers in North Carolina 44/49 approve/disapprove and Florida 44/48 approve/disapprove and even in Georgia 45/48 approve/disapprove aren’t good, but given his overall numbers, they aren’t that bad either.
The Bad News For Obama
His job approval ratings in the other battleground states are solidly underwater however, and in many states, they are much worse than publicly perceived, mostly because of White House spin.
In Colorado, which is seen as a gateway to aggressively contesting the Southwest, Obama scored a net -12 job approval 40/52 throughout the year.
In Nevada, also seen as a major bellwether, Obama has a 41% approval rating, with 50% of respondents disapproving.
In the critical battleground state of Ohio, 50% of voters disapprove of his performance, with only 42% approving.
And in the must-win state of Pennsylvania, Obam’s job approval is underwater, with 45% approving and 48% disapproving.
More Bad News
New Mexico is seen as a Democratic-leaning state because of its voting history and its significant Hispanic population.
But Obama’s performance there, 42% favorable, 51% unfavorable, isn’t much different than his weak standing in the other Southwestern battlegrounds.
The Obama campaign argues that it has an outside shot at contesting Arizona, but his approval rating is at 40%, with 52% disapproving.
In New Hampshire, a state that John Kerry carried in 2004, Obama’s job approval is at 39%, with 54% disapproving, and it’s a state that with Romney heading the GOP ticket, is starting to look more and more out of reach.
So What Does Obama Have To Do To Win?
Based on the above numbers, the most plausible path for the president’s re-election runs through Virginia, Florida and Iowa, which isn’t a scenario that Team Obama drew up in its spin sessions, but if the polls are to be believed, then it’s likely the only way to go.
The Danger Newt Gingrich Poses . . . to Mitt Romney | RedState
www.redstate.com12/2/11
75% of the Republican voters have wanted someone who can hold their own in a debate with Obama and who is not named Mitt Romney. Suddenly Gingrich, by virtue of these several thousand debates we've had, has … If Newt Gingrich can avoid his historic fate of imploding at the pinnacle of success, Mitt Romney will stay the bridesmaid at Newt Gingrich's wedding in August in Tampa. Sponsored Content. Category: 2012, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Ramesh …
BREAKING NEWS: Romney won't debate Newt one-on-one
www.letfreedomringblog.com12/2/11
Human Events magazine and RedState.com, both part of Eagle Publishing, tried to make history by inviting Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich to one Lincoln-Douglas-style debate. The stunning news is that Mitt declined. …
At the time of writing, December 3, 2011, the Republican presidential primary appears to be narrowing down to a two-man contest between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich.
Both Human Events and RedState moved quickly to lock down a date for a Lincoln-Douglas-style debate between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich.
And the two groups went out on a limb last Monday, and firmed up the Annenberg Theater, at the Newseum in Washington as the venue for Dec. 19 – after another debate that was scheduled for that date canceled.
Only One Problem
The Newseum was excited to host the pre-primary forum but there was just one problem.
While Gingrich was ready to take his place on the stage, the Romney campaign politely declined in a series of mostly e-mail exchanges.
And as Joe Guerriero, publisher of Human Events and Red State, put it:
“Newt was all over it, but the Romney camp basically said no. It wasn’t a harsh no, but it was a no".
Romney Should Have Accepted
A Gingrich spokesman confirmed that the candidate was interested and had accepted the invitation, but a Romney spokeswoman failed to return a request for comment.
Guerriero explained that the impetus for the debate was this:
"Romney has long been presumed to be the nominee. But with Gingrich surging in the polls, why shouldn’t the Republican base get a chance to see the two top candidates go toe-to-toe?”.
“No disrespect to any of the other candidates. Given the state of the country, the economy, and the race to date, if Romney is to be the nominee, he needs to go against the best debater with the deepest understanding of policy both domestic and foreign, and that appears to be Newt Gingrich".
Both Rommey And Gingrich Are Good Debaters
So What’s To Be Afraid Of?
It’s no secret that Gingrich loves debates, and he has performed exceedingly well in them, but so has Romney.
Guerriero and his colleagues believe Romney would stand to benefit from a two-person format featuring his toughest opponent to prepare him for debates against President Obama if he does win the GOP nomination.
Guerriero added;
“It looks like Newt’s made a real run at this, and the Romney camp is trying to run out the clock, and we don’t think that’s necessarily a wise strategy. The base should be able to see the top candidates answer the tough questions that these conservative publications don’t believe are being asked".
"Gingrich is itching to do it, but the Romney campaign has been more circumspect".
Right now it seems unlikely that there will be a debate until after the Iowa caucuses.

