Our Changing Globe

Archive for the ‘builders’ Category

New home sales did better than expected in March.
But they still fell by 0.6% last month.

Median home-sale prices in March were around $7,000 higher than in February.
But they are still far lower than they were a year ago.

Some banks have started returning bailout money amid reports of better than expected profits in the first quarter of 2009, and the stock market has rebounded since early March.

But, the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average is still at around 60% of what is was a year ago.

Consumer confidence is rising, and consumer spending rose 2.2% in the first quarter which is the most in two years.
But businesses cut spending on equipment and software by 33.8% in the first quarter.

The administration claims that 2,000 new transportation projects have already been approved under the stimulus package.
But the construction sector lost 626,000 jobs between December 2008 and March 2009.

And whilst we’d truly love to believe that the economic crisis has bottomed out, the IMF (International Monetary Fund) estimates that the global economy will contract by 1.3% in 2009 and the U.S. economy by 2.8% which would be the most since 1946.

After reaching a three-decade low of 55.3 in November, the Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment rose to 58.5 from 57.3 in March, based on an average of sixty one estimates, and it is hoped than an improvement in confidence may help sustain a recovery in consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of the U.S. economy.

The Commerce Department said yesterday (April 16th) that builders broke ground at an annual rate of 358,000 on single-family homes in March, which although unchanged from the previous month, suggests that the housing market may have reached bottom, and The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo confidence index also rose this month to its highest level since October.

James O’Sullivan, who is a senior economist at UBS Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut said, “The economy has started to show signs of improvement. Given all the policy action and mortgage rates coming down, we are starting to see less pessimism”.

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said just one day before the report was made public that, “the signs of stability make for a potential first step toward a recovery from the downturn that started in December 2007″.

Other encouraging news is that reports by the Philadelphia Fed and New York Fed earlier this week showed manufacturing shrinking at a slower pace this month, and according to the Labor Department, the number of Americans applying for first-time jobless benefits unexpectedly dropped last week to the lowest level in almost three months.