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Archive for the ‘interest’ Category

Supply-Side Economics | The CERF Blog

www.clucerf.org1/10/12

As early as the 1950s, Mundell proposed an economic policy program of tight monetary policy to stabilize the value of the currency and low tax rates to stimulate economic activity. During the late … The Reagan Scenario included a sharp drop in inflation, a recession in 1982 due to tight monetary policy, passage of the Kemp Roth tax cuts and an economic boom starting in 1983. … Inflation and interest rates are much lower and tax rates are lower as well. While a high …

The hidden dangers of low interest rates | David Cay Johnston

blogs.reuters.com1/10/12

Low rates also come at a cost, cutting income to older Americans and to pension funds. This forces retirees to eat into principal, may put more pressure on welfare programs for the elderly, and … If rates return to, say, 6.64 percent, the level they were in 2000, one year's interest costs would equal the individual income taxes for all of 2011 plus the first few weeks of 2012. Last week , rates took a step in that direction. The yield on the 10-year bond, a benchmark for other …

President Obama’s recent claim to homeowners, that refinancing their mortgage loans at a lower rate, equates to a tax cut, doesn’t ring true for many tax experts.

Obama said at a recent press conference that the housing plan his administration had launched, had “already contributed to a spike in the number of homeowners who are refinancing their mortgages, which is the equivalent of another tax cut. The main message we want to send today is that there are 7 to 9 million people across the country who right now could be taking advantage of lower mortgage rates and that is money in their pocket”.

What Obama failed to mention however is that unlike the housing boom that led to the current financial crisis, this time, only borrowers with strong credit ratings and stable jobs will be able to save money if they refinance.

Obama’s announcement caused many tax analysts, including Gil Charney, who is an analyst for The Tax Institute at H&R Block to shout “foul”;

“While there could be overall savings by refinancing and lower monthly payments, there also could be reduced tax benefits as less interest is paid. Also refinancing could extend the period before the mortgage is fully paid off, so this might not be desirable for someone who wants to be mortgage-free. Therefore, someone about to make a financial decision should take their complete financial picture into account, not just their tax situation”.

In fairness to Obama, some analysts like Mark Steber, who is vice president of tax resources at Jackson Hewitt Tax Service did express a more supportive viewpoint, “While generally there is no tax advantage to refinancing at a lower rate, an individual can save on the total out of pocket costs each year over the life of the loan. Though a tax bill will actually increase after refinancing, the increase in taxes may be less than half of the total difference in interest paid, so the taxpayer may save more money than their taxes increase, therefore resulting in net savings”.

Put together, the seven biggest U.S. credit card issuers earned over $27 billion in operating profit in 2007.

Although banks can borrow at interest rates that are nearly as low as Treasury yields, they’ve been cutting credit lines and raising their fees, and the average annual percentage rate offered to new card customers in the U.S. is now 14.2 percent.

Just a few years ago, a booming economy kept loan losses in check and banks perfected marketing tricks and introduced the concept of teaser rates, and in just eight years Americans received around 44 billion pieces of mail jammed into their mail-boxes that promoted credit cards.

Now however, issuers are developing new models to calculate the fees and interest rates that they say are needed to cover the growing number of bad debts.

New rules are being put into place too, and if somebody who’s had a card for a long period suddenly uses it at a grocery store for the first time, then it’s quite likely that he’ll be flagged as a potential credit risk and be added to a watch list.

It’s perhaps understandable that banks need healthy credit card earnings to ensure their survival because they can no longer rely on the securities markets that caused the economy to collapse, but it now appears likely that many of them will lose their long-term customers after the economy stabilizes.

Credit cards have become a mainstay of U.S. banking in recent years because the offer a steady income without the volatility that goes with trading and investment banking, but loans on credit cards are unsecured, and the industry absorbed about $55 billion in credit card defaults last year, which is up from $43 billion in 2007.

Fed rules, which will curb sudden changes in interest rates are set to go into effect on July 1, 2010 – but many Democrats in Congress are now pushing to have the legislation advanced, and they also want greater built-in consumer protection.