Our Changing Globe

The gain in U.S. house prices of .7% in February is the first consecutive monthly gain in two years, and is interpreted by some, but not all experts, as a sign that an end to the real estate slump might sight.

The February prices were still 6.5% lower than a year earlier and were pretty much in line with estimates, and also a recent statement by Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Donald Kohn, “As demand firms, and once inventories of houses, and a broad range of goods are brought into line with sales, economic activity should begin to stabilize,”

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s index of applications to purchase a home or refinance a loan increased by 5.3% last week and a National Association of Realtors report notes that home sales rose by 5.1% in February.

The number of Americans that signed contracts to buy previously owned homes rose by 2.1% in February, which was led by a 14.5% jump in the Midwest, and a 10.6% increase in the Northeast.

The California and Florida metropolitan areas led the U.S. in foreclosures in the first quarter of this year, and Bruce Norris, who is a principal with the Norris Group said, “Whatever damage has been done in California is only going to get worse because there is a glut of homes owned by lenders that aren’t yet on the market. These homes are like a shadow inventory that is likely to drag down prices further when they come onto the market”.

Norris’s comments are supported by comments on the National Association of Realtors website which states, “U.S. home prices probably will fall 5.1% this year to $188,500, less than the 9.3% plunge in 2008, according to the real estate group. Home resales probably will rise 1% to 4.96 million after a 13% drop last year”.

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2. More U.S. Cities Are Bulldozing Abandoned Homes
3. U.S. Home Vacancies Reach Record High
4. Two New Plans Announced To Help Homebuyers
5. The Economic News Is Both Good And Bad