www.clucerf.org1/10/12

As early as the 1950s, Mundell proposed an economic policy program of tight monetary policy to stabilize the value of the currency and low tax rates to stimulate economic activity. During the late … The Reagan Scenario included a sharp drop in inflation, a recession in 1982 due to tight monetary policy, passage of the Kemp Roth tax cuts and an economic boom starting in 1983. … Inflation and interest rates are much lower and tax rates are lower as well. While a high …

The hidden dangers of low interest rates | David Cay Johnston

blogs.reuters.com1/10/12

Low rates also come at a cost, cutting income to older Americans and to pension funds. This forces retirees to eat into principal, may put more pressure on welfare programs for the elderly, and … If rates return to, say, 6.64 percent, the level they were in 2000, one year's interest costs would equal the individual income taxes for all of 2011 plus the first few weeks of 2012. Last week , rates took a step in that direction. The yield on the 10-year bond, a benchmark for other …

President Obama’s recent claim to homeowners, that refinancing their mortgage loans at a lower rate, equates to a tax cut, doesn’t ring true for many tax experts.

Obama said at a recent press conference that the housing plan his administration had launched, had “already contributed to a spike in the number of homeowners who are refinancing their mortgages, which is the equivalent of another tax cut. The main message we want to send today is that there are 7 to 9 million people across the country who right now could be taking advantage of lower mortgage rates and that is money in their pocket”.

What Obama failed to mention however is that unlike the housing boom that led to the current financial crisis, this time, only borrowers with strong credit ratings and stable jobs will be able to save money if they refinance.

Obama’s announcement caused many tax analysts, including Gil Charney, who is an analyst for The Tax Institute at H&R Block to shout “foul”;

“While there could be overall savings by refinancing and lower monthly payments, there also could be reduced tax benefits as less interest is paid. Also refinancing could extend the period before the mortgage is fully paid off, so this might not be desirable for someone who wants to be mortgage-free. Therefore, someone about to make a financial decision should take their complete financial picture into account, not just their tax situation”.

In fairness to Obama, some analysts like Mark Steber, who is vice president of tax resources at Jackson Hewitt Tax Service did express a more supportive viewpoint, “While generally there is no tax advantage to refinancing at a lower rate, an individual can save on the total out of pocket costs each year over the life of the loan. Though a tax bill will actually increase after refinancing, the increase in taxes may be less than half of the total difference in interest paid, so the taxpayer may save more money than their taxes increase, therefore resulting in net savings”.

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1. U.S. Fixed Mortgage Rates Continue To Drop
2. Two New Plans Announced To Help Homebuyers
3. The ‘Loan Modification Program’ Finally Gets Underway.

The Three Biggest Lies the Government Is Telling You by Charles …

lewrockwell.com1/27/12

So I have chosen to focus on lies about each: the Federal Reserve, the orchestrator of monetary policy; the U.S. budget, the accounting of government fiscal policy; and a few of the Empire's war lies. I am sharing just a … The World Bank gets almost all of its money by way of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD),( also not a bank), which gets its money from taxes, the largest share coming from the American people. The IBRD also sells …

In defense of capitalism | RedState

www.redstate.com1/12/12

So all you people defending Mitt Romney's corporate activity as unassailable because by God the business of America is business and what not, remember he once made clear he didn't much care for you guys. …. (Actually it sounds quite a bit like what happened to the banks. …. I have said for months that Rush, Beck, Hannity even Palin keep telling us what our candidate should look like and then we have one and they won't put their money where their mouths are. …

The just released government’s “stress-test” results suggest that ten of the nation’s nineteen biggest banks will need a total of around $75 billion in new capital in order to withstand losses if the recession worsens.

According to the tests, some of the largest banks are stable, whilst others will need billions more in capital.

Meanwhile, government officials are stressing that the banking industry is still viable in spite of its vulnerability, but concur that it will need massive injections of capital if there’s to be an economic rebound.

The official line is, that none of the banks will be allowed to fail, and that it’s hoped that the tests will restore investors’ confidence, that not all the nation’s banks are seriously weak, and that those that are can be strengthened.

Kevin Logan, who is chief U.S. economist at Dresdner Kleinwort said, “Looking at the big picture, you can say that things aren’t so bad for the financial industry as a whole. The banking industry is not going to make a lot of money going forward, and that’s a dilemma for keeping banks solvent and getting them lending”.

The ten banks that need more capital, have until June 8th to develop a plan and to have it approved by their regulators, and analysts say that the test results sketched an encouraging but cautious picture of the banks.

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1. As Stocks Advanced The Number Of Defaulting Homebuyers Rose By 50%
2. The ‘Loan Modification Program’ Finally Gets Underway.
3. The Economic News Is Both Good And Bad

The U.S. House of Representatives passed by a vote of 357-70 today, a so-called ‘credit-card bill of rights’ bill, following the adding of a provision that will require banks to apply consumers’ payments to balances with the highest interest rates first.

Uncollected credit card debt rose to 8.82% in February, and that’s the highest amount registered by Moody’s Investors Service Inc. since it began keeping records twenty years ago.

The legislation will also require credit-card companies to give forty-five days notice before increasing rates, and require statements to be mailed at least twenty-one days before the payment due date, and the provision will take effect ninety days after the measure is signed into law.

The House bill imposes broader restrictions than those enacted by the Federal Reserve in December, leading House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to say, “Very soon this will be the law of the land, and consumers will benefit. The House action today will give the legislation momentum heading into the Senate, and with a Democratic president who will sign final legislation there is little doubt it will get support needed in both chambers”.

The senior Republican on the House Financial Services Committee, Spencer Bachus, voiced concern however saying, “Too many restrictions will lead lenders, such as Bank of America Corp. and Citigroup Inc., to pull back on credit in the midst of a severe economic decline. Credit cards play a crucial role in the life of ordinary Americans. Any legislation affecting credit-card practices is going to have a profound effect. There are a great number of people whose rates will go up”.

Edward Yinglingm, who is the President and Chief Executive Officer of the American Bankers Association said in a statement, “It is vitally important to maintain access to credit at this difficult economic time. This is especially true for credit cards, which serve as a driver of economic activity and are relied on by consumers and small businesses as way to bridge short-term financial gaps”.

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1. Bill To Limit Credit Card Increases To Be Advanced
2. The Average Interest On U.S. Credit Cards Is Now 14.2%
3. Are Low Interest Rates The Same As Tax Cuts?

Although banks can borrow at interest rates that are nearly as low as Treasury yields, they’ve been cutting credit lines and raising their fees, and the average annual percentage rate offered to new card customers in the U.S. is now 14.2 percent.

Just a few years ago, a booming economy kept loan losses in check and banks perfected marketing tricks and introduced the concept of teaser rates, and in just eight years Americans received around 44 billion pieces of mail jammed into their mail-boxes that promoted credit cards.

It’s perhaps understandable that banks need healthy credit card earnings to ensure their survival because they can no longer rely on the securities markets that caused the economy to collapse, but it now appears likely that many of them will lose their long-term customers after the economy stabilizes.

Credit cards have become a mainstay of U.S. banking in recent years because the offer a steady income without the volatility that goes with trading and investment banking, but loans on credit cards are unsecured, and the industry absorbed about $55 billion in credit card defaults last year, which is up from $43 billion in 2007.

Fed rules, which will curb sudden changes in interest rates are set to go into effect on July 1, 2010 – but many Democrats in Congress are now pushing to have the legislation advanced, and they also want greater built-in consumer protection.

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1. Bill To Limit Credit Card Increases To Be Advanced
2. Are Low Interest Rates The Same As Tax Cuts?
3. The House of Representatives Backs Credit-Card Measures

Median home-sale prices in March were around $7,000 higher than in February.
But they are still far lower than they were a year ago.

Some banks have started returning bailout money amid reports of better than expected profits in the first quarter of 2009, and the stock market has rebounded since early March.
But, the value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average is still at around 60% of what is was a year ago.

The administration claims that 2,000 new transportation projects have already been approved under the stimulus package.
But the construction sector lost 626,000 jobs between December 2008 and March 2009.

And whilst we’d truly love to believe that the economic crisis has bottomed out, the IMF (International Monetary Fund) estimates that the global economy will contract by 1.3% in 2009 and the U.S. economy by 2.8% which would be the most since 1946.

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1. Our Economy – When Even The Ugly Looks Pretty.
2. As Stocks Advanced The Number Of Defaulting Homebuyers Rose By 50%
3. Home Prices Higher In February Than In January

The report lists a total of 4.2 million vacant homes for rent, and 4.9 million seasonal properties that were only used for a part of the year, and says that the number of people that own their own residences declined for the third straight quarter to 67.3%.

Foreclosures were included in a part of the Census Bureau, that also included vacation homes intended for year-round use, as well as homes that were unoccupied because they are under renovation, and there were 7.9 million such properties vacant in the first quarter, which is up from 7.5 million a year earlier.

What might seem odd however, is that the ‘percentage’ rate of all U.S. homes empty and for sale, known as the ‘vacancy rate’, actually fell to 2.7 percent in the first quarter, and the reason that it is thought to have fallen, is either because the number of homes on the market declined because they were sold, or because their owners gave up trying to market them, and according to National Association of Realtors, the inventory of homes on the market averaged 3.7 million in each of 2009′s first three months.

The world financial crisis, plus falling home prices seem to have pretty much destroyed homebuyer confidence, and the percentage of people who said they plan to buy a home in the next six months, dropped to a 26-year low in March, and the decline in real estate prices is expected to continue into 2010.

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1. More U.S. Cities Are Bulldozing Abandoned Homes
2. U.S. Fixed Mortgage Rates Continue To Drop
3. Home Prices Higher In February Than In January

After Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said, “the vast majority of the nation’s banks have enough capital”, U.S. stocks advanced the most in almost two weeks, and Walter “Bucky” Hellwig, who helps oversee $30 billion at Morgan Asset said, “Geithner’s comments that most banks are OK got money coming back into stocks because that pretty much allays yesterday’s fears about stress tests and banks having to raise more capital”.

Even General Motors Corp. rose 2.4 percent to $1.70 after a government auditor said the Treasury will supply the automaker with $5 billion in additional aid.

Meanwhile, David Heupel, who helps manage $60 billion at Thrivent Financial for Lutherans said, “There are still signs of a tough economic environment, but companies that have really cut down their expenses are starting to see a little glimmer of life”.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac who are the biggest U.S. mortgage-finance companies, either owning or guaranteeing 56% of all U.S. home loans, just announced that mortgage delinquencies among their “most creditworthy homeowners”, rose by 50% in just one month, and they blamed the fall on both drops in income and too much debt, with 34% of borrowers telling Fannie and Freddie that they were earning less money, and around 20% citing too much debt as their reason for missing their mortgage payments, with a further 8.1% blaming unemployment.

Related posts:

1. The ‘Loan Modification Program’ Finally Gets Underway.
2. U.S. Fixed Mortgage Rates Continue To Drop
3. Two New Plans Announced To Help Homebuyers

Not surprisingly, the banking industry says that both the White House and Congress should wait for the Fed’s new rules to take effect before taking any additional action, and Edward Yingling, who is president of the American Bankers Association, said last Sunday, “The banking industry understands the concerns about credit cards, but the administration should fully recognize the impact of the Federal Reserve Board regulation, which is one of the strongest consumer protection regulations ever adopted. As we go forward we need to be careful about piling on rules that very much may have the impact of restraining the availability of credit”.

Summers’s comments were also underlined by White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki who said, “Addressing abuse in the credit card industry and standing up for consumers is a priority for the president and his economic team, and we look forward to working with Congress on these issues”.

Whereas banks claim that market conditions and changes in borrowers’ credit scores necessitated the increases, consumer advocates want new legislation that would not only limit rate increases on existing balances, but would also require credit card companies to provide more information on their rates, and they are particularly critical of banks that raised interest rates whilst receiving federal bailout funds.

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1. The Average Interest On U.S. Credit Cards Is Now 14.2%
2. As Stocks Advanced The Number Of Defaulting Homebuyers Rose By 50%
3. Ten US Banks Needs A Total Of $75 Billion

The Commerce Department said yesterday (April 16th) that builders broke ground at an annual rate of 358,000 on single-family homes in March, which although unchanged from the previous month, suggests that the housing market may have reached bottom, and The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo confidence index also rose this month to its highest level since October.

James O’Sullivan, who is a senior economist at UBS Securities LLC in Stamford, Connecticut said, “The economy has started to show signs of improvement. Given all the policy action and mortgage rates coming down, we are starting to see less pessimism”.

Other encouraging news is that reports by the Philadelphia Fed and New York Fed earlier this week showed manufacturing shrinking at a slower pace this month, and according to the Labor Department, the number of Americans applying for first-time jobless benefits unexpectedly dropped last week to the lowest level in almost three months.

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The names of banks and what they’ll be getting are;

• JPMorgan Chase – $3.6 billion in subsidy and incentive payments
• Wells Fargo – $2.9 billion
• Citigroup – $2 billion
• GMAC Mortgage, $633 million
• Saxon Mortgage Services, $407 million
• Select Portfolio Servicing, $376 million

The government’s program was announced on February 18th but specific details have only just become available, and the delay caused major frustration amongst housing counselors and distressed homebuyers.

The stated aim of the program is to help as many as nine million borrowers to stay in their homes, and Wells Fargo recently said in a statement, “We view this modification program as yet another incremental opportunity for thousands of homeowners to preserve and maintain the dream of homeownership”.

The government has so far allocated $75 billion, to subsidize a part of the payment reduction, and it will also provide tens of thousands of additional dollars in incentives to participating servicers and borrowers.

Servicers will receive $1,000 for each loan modification, plus another $1,000 a year for three years if the borrower stays current. On top of this, the government will provide an additional $500 to servicers, and $1,500 to mortgage holders if they modify their at-risk loans before the borrower falls behind.

Homebuyers will get up to $1,000 a year for five years if they keep up with their payments, and the money will be used to lower their loan principals.

When asked “Where all this money come from?”, Treasury spokesman Andrew Williams answered, “We’re confident we’ll have enough money”.

Related posts:

1. Two New Plans Announced To Help Homebuyers
2. U.S. Fixed Mortgage Rates Continue To Drop
3. As Stocks Advanced The Number Of Defaulting Homebuyers Rose By 50%